A disaster ahead for Democrats
The following comment from an Alabama Democratic Party insider was just passed along to me:
"How are we going to talk to voters with a straight face after setting a quota for non-binary party officials?"
I have been sounding the alarm all this time, and now the pigeons are coming home to roost. This midterm election year is going to be awful for Democrats. I was just discussing the poor polling on all this gobbledygook with my local-political friends and said "every time another man cheats women out of their sports, Democrats lose ten House seats." One of them responded by conveying that comment, which is less than a day old.
The comment is from a state party official. I won't name them in an email. The person who conveyed the quote to me is the family member that the state party official was speaking to. These are "yellow dog" Democrats -- people who would vote for a yellow dog before they would vote for a Republican. Reality is dawning on them that the party has gone utterly bananas, and they are suddenly worried about extinction.
They should be. I lived in Alabama since I was a child. I witnessed the political shifts in 1980 and 1986 and 1996. I earned a political science degree and worked in "netroots" for a decade. I lived through the Tea Party wave of 2010 and I helped elect the last Democratic Senator who will probably ever represent Alabama in 2017.
Goodbye to all that. Watch for the suburbs to turn red in November. Call it "the Loudon County effect." Long political story made short, the suburbs are where electoral shifts show up in wave elections, and the direction of Democratic organizing is online, straight into the social media echo chamber they have created. Traditional GOTV (get out the vote) is too much hard work for the kiddies with their Facebook pages.
My uncle lost his state house seat in New Hampshire because he obeyed the party's Covid advice to stay home instead of knocking on doors. His Republican opponent knocked on every door in the district and won. So you can see why this hyper-online kind of activism is leading Democrats straight into disaster.
If you are at all interested in the political/electoral implications, I do plan to follow the polling again this year.
While we’re at it, here’s Kara Dansky’s earlier piece on the same subject.